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Subscription Box Profit Calculator

Calculate unit economics, MRR, LTV, CAC payback, and break-even subscribers with live updates.

Inputs

COGS

Price and platform

Subscribers and churn

Acquisition

12-month projection

MonthSubscribersMRRGross ProfitNet Profit
1113$4,518.87$1,742.47$642.47
3136$5,451.98$2,102.28$1,002.28
6166$6,620.70$2,552.94$1,452.94
9189$7,560.77$2,915.43$1,815.43
12208$8,316.92$3,207.00$2,107.00

MRR trend

M1M3M6M9M12

Key results

Gross profit per box

$15.42

After COGS and platform fees

Gross margin

38.6%

Healthy benchmark is 40-50%

MRR

$3,999.00

Current subscribers times price

Monthly gross profit

$1,542.01

Before fixed overhead

Monthly net profit

$442.01

After overhead and marketing

Subscribers lost this month

7.0

At your current churn rate

LTV and CAC

Customer lifetime

14.3

Months at current churn

LTV

$220.29

Gross profit per customer

LTV:CAC

7.34:1

Healthy is 3:1+

CAC payback

1.9

Months to recover acquisition cost

Break-even

Break-even subscribers

32

Monthly overhead divided by gross profit

Growth gap

13.0

New subscribers minus churn

Months to break-even

2.5

Estimated at current growth

Benchmarks

Gross margin40-50%Healthy benchmark for many subscription boxes.
Monthly churn7-10%Curated boxes often sit in this range.
LTV:CAC3:1+A common health threshold for paid acquisition.
CAC paybackUnder 6 monthsFaster payback leaves more room to grow.

How to calculate subscription box profit margin

Gross profit per box starts with your selling price and subtracts every unit cost: product, packaging, inbound freight, outbound shipping, fulfillment labor, spoilage, and platform fees. The result is the amount that actually supports your business.

Once you know gross profit, you can estimate MRR, LTV, CAC payback, and break-even subscribers. That gives you a better answer than revenue alone ever could.

How churn affects the math

Churn quietly erodes every recurring business. Even a good product can struggle if the retention curve is weak. The churn calculator shows the subscriber loss over 12 months so you can see the effect before it compounds.

If you want to tune pricing first, jump to the pricing calculator. If churn is your main problem, open the churn calculator next.