Live simulator

Subscription Box Growth Simulator

Simulate subscriber growth, churn, and revenue over 24 months. Every input updates the forecast instantly so you can see the compounding effect of retention and acquisition.

7.0% monthly

Growth type

Choose whether acquisition stays flat or grows by a percentage each month.

Planned price increase

Leave blank if no price change is planned.

Live results

24-Month Projection

Charts and tables update as you edit the form.

Month 12 subscribers

208

Projected subscriber base after 12 months

Month 12 MRR

$8,316.92

Monthly recurring revenue in month 12

Month 24 subscribers

253

Projected subscriber base after 24 months

Month 24 MRR

$10,124.38

Monthly recurring revenue in month 24

Month you turn profitable

Month 1

Cumulative net profit becomes positive

Total profit over 24 months

$84,442.63

Cumulative net profit at month 24

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Current scenario

$8,316.92 at month 12

$10,124.38 at month 24

Total profit: $84,442.63

If you reduce churn by 3%

$10,194.09 at month 12

$13,989.89 at month 24

Total profit: $108,079.34

Reducing churn by 3% is worth $1,877.18 more in MRR by month 12.

The lower-churn scenario produces $23,636.71 more total profit over 24 months.

Going from 7.0% to 4.0% churn generates $47,261.61 more revenue over 24 months. That is more than acquiring 1182 new subscribers.

Projection table

24-Month Projection Table

The highlighted row marks the first month where cumulative net profit turns positive.

MonthSubscribersMRRGross ProfitNet ProfitCumulative Net Profit
1113$4,518.87$2,260.00$1,760.00$1,760.00
2125$5,002.35$2,501.80$2,001.80$3,761.80
3136$5,451.98$2,726.67$2,226.67$5,988.47
4147$5,870.15$2,935.81$2,435.81$8,424.28
5157$6,259.04$3,130.30$2,630.30$11,054.58
6166$6,620.70$3,311.18$2,811.18$13,865.76
7174$6,957.05$3,479.40$2,979.40$16,845.16
8182$7,269.86$3,635.84$3,135.84$19,981.00
9189$7,560.77$3,781.33$3,281.33$23,262.33
10196$7,831.32$3,916.64$3,416.64$26,678.96
11202$8,082.92$4,042.47$3,542.47$30,221.44
12208$8,316.92$4,159.50$3,659.50$33,880.94
13213$8,534.53$4,268.33$3,768.33$37,649.27
14218$8,736.92$4,369.55$3,869.55$41,518.82
15223$8,925.13$4,463.68$3,963.68$45,482.50
16228$9,100.17$4,551.22$4,051.22$49,533.73
17232$9,262.96$4,632.64$4,132.64$53,666.37
18235$9,414.35$4,708.35$4,208.35$57,874.72
19239$9,555.15$4,778.77$4,278.77$62,153.49
20242$9,686.09$4,844.26$4,344.26$66,497.75
21245$9,807.86$4,905.16$4,405.16$70,902.90
22248$9,921.11$4,961.80$4,461.80$75,364.70
23251$10,026.43$5,014.47$4,514.47$79,879.17
24253$10,124.38$5,063.46$4,563.46$84,442.63

Why 24 months matters

Monthly churn compounds. A box at 8% churn does not lose 8% once. It loses 8% every single month. Over 24 months that erases most of a subscriber base even with strong acquisition. This simulator shows the movie, not just the snapshot.

The churn lever vs the growth lever

Most founders focus on acquiring more subscribers. But reducing churn by 3% often adds more revenue than doubling acquisition spend. The scenario comparison above shows the exact dollar difference for your numbers.